Thursday, February 25, 2010

FACTS ABOUT WARMING by Dr Ritesh Arya

1. Global warming is 100% natural                                                                            (global warming follows cooling & vice versa)

2. Man creates pollution and GHGs   .                                                           (Pollution  is 100% man made  but it can be 100%natural (volcanoes)

3. No established scientific link between warming & GHGs

4. Global warming  always follow cooling  .                                   and cycle should be studied and understood in totality.

5. Global warming is like day and night                                                                   but with longer durations say approx 1167 years for one cycle

6. Transition from warming to cooling is like dawn and dusk.

7. Even if  all GHGs are removed global warming will  happen

8.  Even if global average temperatures rises to  maximum levels 
                                                       and
                              maximum GHG levels are reached 
                                                       still 
                                  global cooling will happen

9. This clearly shows 
Global warming and cooling                                                             are independent of increased GHGs and temperature rise 

10. Stop playing carbon games and  built sustainable habitats in geologically sound locations

What does warming really means.....????
It really means 
more glacier melt, more water and  more floods in mountains and inter mountain valley regions 
and 
more cyclones/hurricanes in coastal areas............

What can  be done by the govts........?????? 
Built sustainable habitats in geologically sound locations 

Prepare geological maps and identify the flood prone and cyclone affected areas 


 Does it mean that all habitations in disastrous zones need to be rehabilitated.......????
If possible yes or it should be left to the individuals but they should know that  their habitations is susceptible to flooding / cyclones.







 

Friday, December 11, 2009

Rocks!!!!! Rock on Global warming :- Its Natural Enjoy It


please watch this to know what rocks have to say about global warming 
This link to
 Global Warming:: A Convenient Truth 
by Dr Ritesh Arya
(Award winning Geologist and Guinness World record holder) 
is an attempt to show the world 
what rocks have to say about global warming .....
This will help YOU and POLICY MAKERS
take better and strong decisions
in right direction regarding
GLOBAL WARMING

 
"I am fully convinced what they(rocks) are saying...
so just working as their (rocks) ambassador 
to save the world 
from the wraths of
man made global warming
.......................propagated by UNIPCC" Dr Ritesh Arya

 
Also please find  attached headLines of all  papers which covered the  Press conference  organised in Chandigarh Press Club to mark the start of COPENHAGEN meet on Climate Change by Dr Ritesh Arya 


1.   Man is too small to cause impact on warming::  Times of India
2.   Global warming and pollution has no relation Dr Arya :: Punjab Kesri
3. No need to panic about Global warming:: Arya :: Sohni City
4.    Man has no role in Global warming :: Amar Ujala
5. Global warming has no relationship with CO2: Danik Bhaskar
6.   Global warming is natural phenomenon Dr Arya::  AJIT
7.    No need to fear Global warming::Tribune
 

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Water Wells Drilled at World Record Altitudes by Dr. Ritesh Arya

http://geology.com/articles/himalaya-water.shtml

Himalaya Water Supply Wells

Water Wells Drilled at World Record Altitudes 

by Dr. Ritesh Arya



If you lived at high altitude in the Himalayas, especially the cold
mountain deserts of Ladakh, where would you obtain your water?
  You would not be able to rely upon streams.
 They are frozen most of the year and filled with sediment-laden
glacial meltwater when they are flowing. Melting snow or ice
would useprecious fuel, which is not available in the remote areas,
and the work might yield contaminated water.  Hauling or pumping
water up from lower elevations is turning out to be very expensive.
Obtaining safe, reliable,economic water can be a daily challenge
for people who live at high altitudes. These areas have extreme
geologic and climatic conditions that disconnect people from the
rest of the world for more than 6 months of the year.









Villages in the Himalayas are in cold semi-arid environments where 
successful water wells do 
more than provide water - they change the daily lives of people. 
Scene from Ladakh, Northern India. 
Many homes here do not have running water. © iStockphoto / Bosung Kim.



"I learned that geology,geologists and geological resources
can change the destiny of any country" Dr Ritesh Arya



 

 



 

 

 

 

 

  Drilling for Ground Water at World Record Altitudes

Dr. Ritesh Arya was one of the first hydrogeologists to explore and drill high
elevation wells in the Himalayas.
Since then he has completed many wells that now deliver safe reliable water to
thousands of people. In doing this work he has earned three world records.
These are for: 1) the highest successful water well at North Polu - 15,400 feet
(4694 meters) above mean sea level; 2) the highest well with artesian flow at
Chushul - 14,260 feet (4346 meters) above mean sea level; and, 3) a water
well drilled under the coldest conditions near the snout of Siachen Glacier -
at an altitude of 12,000 feet (3658 meters) where temperatures drop to minus 40
degrees Celsius in winter.

We recently had the opportunity to communicate with Dr. Arya about his high
mountain drilling. His comments on relevant questions are below.


What triggered your interest in high mountain drilling?



"My first daily wage job was as a hydrogeologist with the government
of Himachal Pradesh at $2 a day. At that time the mountains were
considered to be devoid of ground water resources. I had little option
but to accept the challenge and work forthe development of ground
water resources in the region. The work was to solve
the drinking water problems by exploring sites for
ground water development by
drilling wells and installing hand pumps.

My first posting was in Barsar in Hamirpur District of
Himachal Pradesh. I saw the drilling rig for the first
time when I arrived at the site. All of the villagers
were curiously waiting for me to locate the well site so
that the drilling could be started.

This was a most challenging experience, as we did not
have any instruments or any information that
 could be used to select the site. I considered it as a challenge
and applied simple logic which was mainly based upon the
peculiar lithology of the site and the water bodies present in
the form of springs, which I felt were nothing but manifestations 
of the ground water resources.
Within six hours a depth of 150 feet (46 meters) was
achieved and by evening the water gushed out from
 the well. I was mesmerized and the whole village
was overjoyed with the success of a well that could solve
their drinking water problems. For the first time I realized
the practical significance of geology and its importance in
solving the day-to-day problems faced by people 
of the mountainous regions.

Success continued for three more boreholes; however, the fourth well at
Bhota bus stand was dry. No water was encountered even after drilling
up to 300 feet (92 meters). I learned that groundwater is not available
everywhere. However, at this location there was an old fort at the top
of the hill and I wondered how an army could survive there without water.
So, I went up to investigate and found two wells in the fort that had been
constructed in the 17th century! I was amazed and immediately bowed
down in respect of my hydrological ancestors who located these wells
without modern instruments, satellite images or other information.
Over the years I visited other forts and found successful wells at the top
of hills. I learned from these wells and developed a model to explain
the occurrence and movement of ground water in the Himalayas.
I have used this model with great success and have presented it
at scientific meetings."


What challenges do you face drilling at high 

elevations?


"There are several problems to be faced when drilling at high elevations.
These include:

1) A Lack of Data:

Most wells that we have drilled are the first in their local area.                                                                      With such pioneering work there is usually little or no record of                                                                      subsurface materials that can be used to ascertain the availability                                                                        of ground water in the region.

2) A Short Working Season:

These high mountains have a typical problem, as they are accessible                                                                   by road for only a short period of four to five months - from May to                                                                 October. For the remaining part of the year the roads are closed                                                                        and due to dropping temperatures the working conditions are not conducive.

3) Keeping Machines Working:

From where the drilling occurs the nearest market is in Chandigarh or Delhi                                                     where a small part could be obtained in case of a breakdown,                                                                          which takes about three to four days. So drilling in high altitudes is                                                                     a race of time. Initially with only Indian Airlines operating three or                                                                    four flights in the region, getting help in case of a breakdown of                                                                     machinery was a big problem. However, with passing years this                                                                         has improved and now two more airlines have started daily flights.

4) Keeping Men Working:

The high altitude sickness with which the workers had to cope due to                                                               changes in altitude was devastating to the timing of a completed project.

5) Well Site Logistics:

The most challenging thing about drilling the wells in the mountains is                                                                   the accessibility of the drill site and the logistics to sustain the drilling                                                        equipment at that altitude where temperatures in winter drop to minus                                                                30 degrees Celsius. Not only the machine but also the men fail to work.                                                        We developed new and innovative ways to sustain the tube wells                                                                   even when temperatures drop to minus thirty.                                                                                                    These are very simple and effective.

6) Water Line Problems:

Using high density polyethylene pipe instead of metal pipe                                                                                  and laying it at five feet depth (1.5 meters) with natural clay as an                                                                    insulator paved the way for the first piped water from a well in this                                                                region and was operational at an altitude of 15500 feet (4724 meters)                                                            above mean sea level at North Polu.
With these problems being solved, now every borehole drilled                                                                                                 successfully helps break the notion of the limited availability of ground                                                                              water in the region. We also find joy in bringing water to where previously                                                                             the inhabitants were forced to fetch water from distant sources and things                                                                             were miserable in winters when everything froze."


What types of aquifers are the wells drilled into                                                                    and do you have a prediction of their lifetimes?



"The aquifers mainly tapped in the area are perennial and found in                                                                                        both confined and unconfined conditions. The aquifers are manly in                                                                                    the form of paleochannels. The entire Himalayas has been divided into                                                                              various hydrostratigraphic zones. A word coined by me to explain the                                                                                behavior of ground water resource in a particular lithostratigraphic unit.

The rule of thumb for exploring for water in the mountains is that there                                                                                     is enough water available; however the identification of the well                                                                                     location has to be site specific. There could be a distance of thirty feet                                                                                   (ten meters) or less between a successful well and a failure well. They                                                                                  are mainly controlled by the lithology, the structure and also the                                                                                geomorphology of the region. All these parameters have to be                                                                                          worked out in detail before selection of the site to get 100% successful results.                                                                 The water can be found in thin, 3-4 inch (7 to 10 centimeter) thick zones in                                                                         glacio-fluvial deposits. Depths of aquifers vary from a few feet / meters                                                                            below the ground to 330 feet (100 meters) below the ground.

The granites were generally considered to be devoid of ground water resources                                                                     and whatever water we were finding was confined to the intermountain valley region.                                                         However, to our surprise, a well drilled at an altitude of 15,200 feet (4633 meters)                                                                at South Polu at the base of Khardungla Hill failed to yield any water up to the                                                                 depth of 230 feet (70 meters). This is the thickness of the glacio-fluvial deposits.                                                                At one point of time, since no water was encountered, the entire project was                                                                  abandoned as the basement granite batholiths were encountered. But the decision                                                               of the driller to try drilling into the granite hills paved way and after drilling for                                                                       about 20 feet (6 meters) we got the aquifer.

So the notion that the granite batholiths are devoid of water was broken                                                                                and we had water at that altitude. This has been happening every time.                                                                                   The mountains are full of mystery and we are just trying to unfold the                                                                                  different layers of their nature. Although most boreholes drilled fit into                                                                                  my model of the Himalayas, some boreholes do shock me and make                                                                                 me think certain that the science of geology is mysterious and always                                                                                      has something new to offer."


Do you think that the yields from these wells will be sustained                                                and what could be the impact of global warming on these                                                   resources in the mountains?



"Yes, this is the million-dollar question. How long these resourses are going to                                                                        last when water sources in other parts of the country and world are drying up                                                                       and ground water levels are going down due to over exploitation. I don't expect this to                                                       happen in the mountains. We should expect a bounty of ground water as the                                                                         climate warms and the snows melt. In fact I visualize that in next few years the                                                                     volume of water will increase in the mountains at an alarming rate as a result                                                                         of melting of snow due to global warming.

The channels in the mountains in various hydrostratigraphic zones have a                                                                          particular storage capacity and once the subsurface water in the mountains                                                                       reaches that threshold point, the mountains will not be able to retain and                                                                         channelize the ground water. This will result in mountain bursting leading                                                                                  to massive flash floods. This phenomenon can be seen in the mountains                                                                             today but only on a small scale and often confused with a cloud burst.                                                                                Unfortunately, mountain flooding of a larger magnitude could occur in the                                                                             near future, triggering major geomorphological changes besides leading to                                                                              the end of major habitations enroute as it did in the past leading to the                                                                               end of the Indus, Harappan and other contemporary civilizations.                                                                                           The impact of global warming in the mountains is a poorly understood                                                                           phenomenon and its impact on human civilization could be more                                                                                     devastating than that caused by tsunamis in the coastal areas."


Who are possible clients for high altitude wells?



"The first project was sponsored by Water Aid, a charitable trust                                                                                         in England who wanted to solve the drinking water problems of about                                                                                10,000 Tibetans residing in the deserts of Ladakh, bordering the Indo-Tibetan border.                                                            The funding was done through the Central Tibetan Administration  of his Holiness                                                                  the Dalai Lama with their headquarters at Dharamsala. The project was successfully                                                       completed in 1997 and even after a span of ten years, the Tibetan community  can boast
of having a 24-hour water supply, 365 days per year. Prior to this the situation was
bad and entire families were surviving on 20 liters (5 gallons) per day.

After the success this project, the local administrations, military, oil companies
, and various other government and non-government organizations approached me
to solve their drinking water problems in and around Leh. Many projects
have been completed and are still running successfully and the dependency
on water tankers has decreased.

I feel the most important opportunity came my way when the Leh Field
Research Laboratory approached me to develop ground water resources
to for their agricultural projects. This was a great challenge and on completion
of this project the production rose by almost 60% in the first year.
Not only this, but the milk production also increased as cattle
were more comfortable drinking ground water which was warm
as compared to frozen water from streams in winter.

Now, ground water development has become a people's movement
because more and more civilians, including hoteliers and homeowners
are developing wells to meet their water requirement.

To summarize it all, the journey of ground water development in the
last ten years has revolutionized the concept of water planning and its
distribution in the Himalaya region. The dependency on surface water
has decreased and the cost incurred to procure water has drastically decreased.

But still a lot has to be done to actually instigate the policy makers
and executors as a majority of decision-makers are engineers who
have very low respect/knowledge for the subsurface waters and
want to restrict the role of hydrogeologist to give the site only."


What are your plans for future drilling?



"The satisfaction of being able to provide water to the people living
in water deficient areas in Himalayan mountain ranges especially in
the high altitude cold mountain deserts of Ladakh is immense.
In the future I look forward to helping farmers to bring about
a green revolution in the mountains and popularise ground water
resource development in the Hindu Kush Himalayas where,
even today, irrigation systems are poorly developed and still
in a primitive stage, i.e. dependant on nature mainly snow
melt from the glaciers. I also plan to develop sites along the
highest motorable road in the world which is at 18000 feet (5486 meters)
and prove that every peak which is less than 29,029 feet (8848 meters)
- the height of Mt. Everest - above mean sea level will have
ground water provided certain geological conditions are met.
Since the area is pollution free and the water available here is
naturally endowed with minerals, I plan to develop such sites
to provide pure water sources for bottling companies.

Ground water fluctuations and chemical change can be an important
scientific study which can be used to understand plate movements
and as a precursor to earthquakes in the Himalayan region. Data
collected from the borewells is being seriously studied and
reinterpreted to understand the global warming phenomenon.

Last, but not least, I would request hydrogeologists, scientists
and policy makers to consider mountain hydrogeology as an
entity that is very different from the plains of the Indo-Gangetic
region and peninsular India where it is depleting. Contrary to
this groundwater will increase in the mountains in years to come."

Explore geo-thermal energy, says expert

http://www.expressindia.com/latest-news/explore-geothermal-energy-says-expert/406106/Expressindia » Story

Explore geo-thermal energy, says expert


Express News Service Posted: Jan 03, 2009 at 0205 hrs ISTShimla.. 

Ritesh Arya, a groundwater expert, today urged the Himachal Pradesh government to explore the possibilities of tapping geo-thermal energy, uranium deposits, and oil and natural gases to make the state economically sound.

Speaking at a meet organised by the Department of Environment Protection, Arya said HP has potential to generate geo-thermal energy at Tattapani (Shimla) and Manimahesh (Kullu), besides using the spots as tourism attractions.
He was surprised that no detailed mapping of state has been done for exploration of mineral and natural gas resources. The state has deposits of uranium and gold, beside other valuable minerals. The exploration for oil and natural gas had started at Jawalji, but was abandoned abruptly. There is need to revise the work, he suggested.
Arya, who has worked in the state’s IPH Department as a hydrologist, has now specialised on groundwater and geological issues. He is now working with the defence forces at Leh for exploration of groundwater.
Arya disagreed that global warming spell doom for the biosphere. The climactic change, he said, has created new opportunities for countries like India to reap the benefits. He suggested a 14-point programme called WASSHED to ensure quality drinking water by involving school children at the primary level. He asked the government to take strict action against industrialists for polluting water sources.
Arya recommended that all water bodies be declared a national heritage, and those polluting these sources be penalised.

‘Man, be not proud, global warming is not your creation’

Publication: Times Of India Chandigarh; Date: Apr 3, 2007; Section: Times Chandigarh; Page: 22



SORRY STATE ‘Man, be not proud, global warming is not your creation’ TIMES NEWS NETWORK

Chandigarh: Last week, Sydney switched off lights to express its growing concern about global warming and the need for humans to do something about it. But listen to Ritesh Arya, a city-based Guiness book record holder hydro-geologist, the Australians need not have bothered. For, he says, humans are too insignificant to damage the environment that dramatically.

    Arya, a PU alumni, will be giving an oral presentation at the third international conference on climate and water in Helsinki. The presentation will be at the session on “Climate change and water resources: Risk and risk management.”

    Talking to TOC, Arya said, ‘‘Although global warming is a much-hyped subject, there is mounting evidence that human activity is too insignificant to impact Earth’s ecology so drastically. Whatever findings we have so far do not link up properly and science has not been able to justify many of the stands we have taken.’’

    For instance, he says, ‘‘if human activity is to be blamed for a hole in the ozone layer, then it really does not make sense that the hole is on Antarctica which sees near negligible human activity. Also there is growing evidence that global warming followed by global cooling is a natural cycle and will happen with or without human contribution.’’

    The entire Indus river was a glacier once upon a time, he said. Global cooling resulted in ice ages and global warming started melting it. The glaciers were now confined to higher Himalayas, clearly showing that how little impact man had in controlling the warming process, he said.

    Referring to recent reports indicating that Himalayan glaciers will melt by 2030, Arya said, “I would give them some more years say by 2060 and then the glacial ages or the global cooling will start again resulting in the formation of glaciers and beginning of ice age. Cooling will have to follow warming process. That is sure,” he said.

The incredible waterman

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/index.php?issueid=89&id=1482&option=com_content&task=view&sectionid=36

The incredible waterman
Ramesh Vinayak Leh,  October 9, 2007  India Today
At 18,380 ft in the Himalayas, Khardung La, a wind-swept pass with scanty oxygen on the world’s highest motorable road in Ladakh, is the ultimate milestone for record-crazy adventure seekers.
But, Ritesh Arya’s fascination with craggy and barren mountains runs deeper, literally. This intrepid hydrogeologist is about to succeed in his quest for ground water on Khardung La—a feat that could surpass his own world record of digging borewells at high altitudes.
 Already, sparkling clear ground water is streaming out of two borewells he had dug recently at South Pullu and North Pullu, army posts and snow shelters on either side of the pass at 15,300 ft and 15,400 ft, respectively.
Until a month ago, the only source of drinking water here were water tankers from distant Leh and Partapur at the base of the Siachen glacier.
“It’s nothing short of a miracle to get ground water at this height,” gushes a Junior Commissioned Officer of the military police post at South Pullu, an area where granite rocks abound which, according to conventional geology, are too impervious to hold any ground water.
But Arya perceived a narrow valley of rock debris at the base of the receding Khardung glacier, now 6 km from the road, as the most definite indicator of ground water charged by the melting glacier. And, two days after a rig drilled a 300-ft deep hole, it struck a ground water reservoir.
Arya plans his drilling operations after studying the exposed rock faces in the landscape. Such exploits come naturally to him, a diminutive 39-year-old who holds a PhD degree in geology.
By combining his hands-on expertise in Himalayan geology with an unconventional approach, this hydrogeologistturned-professional driller has broken new ground on scientific exploitation of ground water in the high-altitude, cold desert of Ladakh.
In the past 12 years, Arya has dug more than a hundred borewells in inhospitable and treacherous terrains where no geologist or government agency has ventured before. From Siachen glacier to the China border, the Indus plains of Leh and the Kargil heights, his explorations have ensured all-weather ground water supplies to the army and civilians alike.
Image
More significantly, Arya’s pioneering research is likely to redefine Himalayan hydrology and change the traditional schemes for drinking water and irrigation in rain-deficit Ladakh, which has so far been harnessing mostly surface water from the river Indus or glacier-fed streams.
Apart from perennial shortage, there is also the problem of silt in glacier melt in summer and freezing of surface water sources in winter. In Leh town, for example, only 10 per cent of the population— which rises from 15,000 to 50,000 every summer due to tourist inflow— has access to ground water through public taps, the rest depends on water tankers.
Ground water exploitation in Ladakh, undertaken by the Central Ground Water Board (CGWB), has been confined to areas along the Indus river. Exploration beyond that has always been discouraged on the premise that a rocky mountain desert cannot hold ground water.
But, Arya punched holes in this belief by digging a borewell for the army at 14,000 ft in Chushul on China border in 2006—a feat that earned him an entry in the Guiness Book of World Records. “It’s like rediscovering the simple principles of geology and physics operating in high-altitudes,” says Arya.
“His borewells are not only a costeffective solution to the army’s rising water needs in Ladakh but have also boosted the morale of the troops,” says Sanjay Kaul, assistant commander works engineer at the newly-set up 14 Corps in Leh.
“A systematic development of untapped potential of ground water can lead to green revolution in this cold desert,” says Arya. He has since drilled borewells to augment water supply schemes for, among others, the Airports Authority of India, the Indian Oil Corporation, the Indian Air Force and field research laboratory of the Defence Research and Development Organisation.

Ashok Sahni, Professor Emeritus at the Centre for Advanced Geology of Panjab University, calls Arya “an unconventional hydrogeologist”.
“He took a risk by drilling in the mountains and has struck abundant ground water where it was earlier seen as impossible,” says Sahni.
Arya’s discovery is based on practical experience gleaned from five years of digging hand pumps in Himachal Pradesh where he worked as a daily-wager hydrogeologist with the state government. What, however, added depth to his knowledge was his study of wells in 17th century forts on hill tops in Hamirpur and Solan districts.
“The traditional mountain water supply techniques were based on intuitive science,” says Arya.
To explain the prevalence of ground water in mountains, including the ones that have no rain-fed seepage or snowfall, Arya divided the Himalayas into seven hydrostratigraphic zones in 1996 in a study he presented the same year at the International Conference of Geology in China.
At the heart of his ground-breaking thesis is the finding that ground water resources in the Himalayan region depend on the type of rocks and structural parameters like folds, fissures and fault-lines in the rock strata.
The mountains have ground acquifers just like plains but the water movement in high-altitudes is controlled by the principles of gravity and iso-stacy (wherein the water level is itself up). In his reckoning, even a barren mountain top below the height of Mount Everest will have ground water resources, provided it has favourable lithological conditions like the presence of water-absorbing sedimentary rocks or impervious rocks with water-trapping fault-lines.
“Arya’s high success rate in high-altitude borewells has flowed from his intimate technical knowledge of hydrogeology,” says former CGWB chairman R.K. Chadda.
Arya has a near 100 per cent success rate in his borewells commissioned on a no-water-no-payment basis. Experts view his explorations as significant in the backdrop of receding glaciers and rising demand for water in the Ladakh region.
Also, troop deployment, which has increased manifold since a new Corp was set up in Ladakh after the Kargil war in 1999, adds to the shortage.
“The water level of the river Indus has fallen alarmingly this year, affecting irrigation schemes,” says Chering Dorjay, Chairman of Ladakh Autonomous Hill Development Council. Clearly, with Arya around, at least water is something that this cold desert will never thirst for.
http://in.groups.yahoo.com/group/apnahimachal/message/2889

Groundwater study to predict tremors
Tribune News Service

Shimla, May 19
Hydro-geologist Ritesh Arya, who earned a place in the Guinness Book
of Records for striking groundwater at the highest elevation in the
cold deserts of Ladakh, maintains that fluctuations in the level and
chemical composition of ground water resources could be used for
predicting earthquakes in the Himalayan region.

Having studied the "little-understood" mountain hydrogeology in depth
and gained rare experience while carrying out ground water
explorations in the high-altitude areas of the Himalayas for the past
almost two decades, he had gathered enough knowledge about the Paleo-
channels in the mountains in various hydrostratigraphic zones which
could be used for the purpose, he told The Tribune here. Changes in
ground water are an important scientific indicator for understanding
plate movements and as a precursor to earthquakes in the Himalayan
region.

Giving details of the study being carried out in collaboration with
Dr D.K. Chaddha under the banner of "Global Groundwater Solutions",
he said that four piezometre-based Paleo-seismic stations had been
set up at Parwanoo, Darlaghat, Sabathu and Dharamsala to monitor
changes in ground water levels for the purpose. The site of the first
three stations was important as the next tectonic event was expected
in the Shivaliks along the path of the old Saraswati river and the
present Ghaggar river . The foothill areas like Parwanoo, Pinjore and
Panchkula fell into the danger zone. It was important to ensure that
structures constructed in the region were earthquake-resistant. The
project had been funded by the Union Ministry of Science and
Technology.

He said data collected from the borewells was being seriously studied
and reinterpreted for predicting earthquakes and to understand the
global warming phenomenon. During the earthquake at Latur there was a
surge in the level of ground water several hours before the event
occurred. It had been observed that the water level either increases
or decreases sharply before a tremor hits an area. Further, its
chemical composition is also altered due to an increase in Radon
gases because of excessive of radioactivity before and after the
event. These along with the natural springs and geysers (hot springs)
like the ones at Manikaran and Tattapani are important precursors of
geothermic activity which precedes an earthquake.

Arya underlined the need for extensive Paleo-tectonic studies not
only for the exploration of ground water but also understating the
complex phenomenon like global warming and the increasing incidence
of flash floods in the region.